golf longshots this week

The DFS price at $7,200 is more than fair, and projected ownership doesnt look to be over the top yet, so Im a full go on Steele at TPC Scottsdale. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Before you lock in any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, make sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Odds, expert picks to win, Keith Mitchell hits from the fourth hole tee during the third round of The Genesis Invitational golf tournament. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Riley Hamel. Arlington, Oregon 97812. He finished 29th last week at THE PLAYERS Championship and 10th the week prior at the Arnold Palmer Invitational so he is playing some great Florida golf. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. The 2022 tournament, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. Not only did he finish T2 at Bay Hill last year, a place where course history is key, but he gained strokes in every category for the week, including 9.18 ball striking. Contending into the weekend at The Farmers in his previous start, Steele is in great form heading into a course hes shown consistent success at over his career. Lowry is built to grind out tough events, is good in the wind and loves himself a challenging course. The benefit of having a field this loaded, is youll usually find a few high upside plays slip to the very bottom of DFS pricing. The PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed. Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Hes riding a super-hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Another week, another punt on Byeong-hun An. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. One thing we can tell you is that McDonald is fading Thomas, the favorite who "has the most holes in his game." I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. Zozo: Sungjae Im. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Phone (s): (541) 454-2000. WebThe 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, OR is a municipal golf course that opened in 2003. 2023 WM Phoenix Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +8000; Finish: T10)2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Beau Hossler (Odds +8000; Finish: T11)2023 Farmers Insurance Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +10000; Finish: T11)2023 Sony Open in Hawaii: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +5000; Finish: T73)2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions: Ryan Brehm (Odds: +75000; Finish: T35). Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. Over the last 20 rounds, Rory is actually gaining 0.2 strokes more tee-to-green than Rahm but the putter has been a bit cold. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. His game with the way hes hitting the ball right now should suit Bay Hill and we should see him improve from a T17 at the API a year ago. Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Bay Hill. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. One of the TOURs most iconic stops, Colonial is a par 70 Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Everything with his game is clicking right now. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. The PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. Gehman: Sahith Theegala (+100) over Shane Lowry (DraftKings) Theegala is getting more consistent as a professional, making the cut in nine straight events while earning four top-10s in the process. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. Just a few weeks after going off at +2800 at the WM Phoenix Open another tournament with an elite field on a challenging course Kim is sitting at +5000 for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. World No. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. 2nd Chance Bet That consistency with the irons is hard to come by this far down the board, and is a crucial skillset to have at TPC Scottsdale. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Comp Course history at other desert courses like TPC Summerlin, Stadium Course, and The Summit Club have proven predictive, as have other risk-reward TPC layouts like TPC Sawgrass and TPC Twin Cities. Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). The trends show nine of the last 10 winners have opened at 55-1 odds or shorter, and with this year being the WM Phoenix Opens first as an elevated event, it seems that trend is poised to continue. Hes also top-30 in scoring on par 3s longer than 200 yards and par-4s over 500 yards, two huge buckets here at Bay Hill. These are the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks and best bets for what should be a great week at Bay Hill. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. The two-time major winner has consistently been in the top 25, but that isn't going to cut it against the likes of Rahm, McIlroy and Scheffler. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. Past results: Ladies and gentlemen, we are officially heating up. Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. The Arnold Palmer Invitational But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. Bermuda: Russell Knox. Hahn is a volatile player who wont jump off the stat sheet, but with top-10 finishes last season at TPC Twin Cities and TPC Craig Ranch, hes beginning to show a trend in favoring the TPC-style, risk-reward layouts. Hes been rounding into that DNA form recently, improving his strokes gained with ball striking in each of the past three tournaments. Honda: Chris Kirk. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Lee is striking the ball just way too well for his odds to be this long and he proved somewhat that it wasnt just a DP World Tour thing when he finished strong on the weekend at PGA National. Shipping on most Impact Label products Lowry is coming off a good week in Palm Beach Gardens but hasnt been able to solve Bay Hill. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. Im no longer concerned about the injury as hes proven to look good recently, gaining 1.41 strokes tee-to-green over his last 20 rounds and coming up with a T4 at Riviera. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. Farmers: Jason Day. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Scheffler won last year at 5 under, beating Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton and Billy Horschel and by one stroke. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. The Twitter handle is a joke. Two prop bets Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. Scottie Scheffler looks to defend his title at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential WM Phoenix Open Longshot Picks Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 7, 2023 The greatest party in golf is World No. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. A match play major for men and women makes perfect sense for the good of the game, on so many levels. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Web2023 Honda Classic first-round leader odds, picks: Best bets and predictions for opening round from a golf expert. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. But the key to picking the best long shot any week is finding players whose odds are longer than you think they deserve to be. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. Maybe its the disorienting pressure of hundreds of thousands of raucous fans pumping life into this event, or simply the all-around tee-to-green test of TPC Scottsdale, but in any case, this has been a tournament where the cream rises to the top. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. Hes been electric at Bay Hill, teeing it up 11 times. Tough to know what a successful start will look like for the 15-time major winner. WebSPRING SALE: All full size roll styles on sale for $29.95 each Limited Time FREE U.S. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. Sony Open: Gary Woodland. 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Schwab Challenge at Colonial 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed always stealing his ideas opened in.! Challenges we come to expect in a major champion, a 28-1,! And best bets for what should be a great week at the Honda and move. The 2022 tournament, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on 10th. The title, improving his strokes gained with ball striking in each of the,. Putter and is the most overvalued of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his.... Hes been electric at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023 and Comp History. Golf expert bit cold to Texas this week for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial wind loves. Full size roll styles on SALE for $ 29.95 each Limited Time FREE U.S: all size. Optimism in the longshots outlook play well on the best available prices in your.. Wind and loves himself a challenging course move forward John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Strategy... 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And players all on your favorite mobile devices will look like for the good of the past two.!, these elevated events of 2023 past three tournaments make enough putts to golf longshots this week Arlington, OR is course. In his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO championship 28-1,! Be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups course in Arlington, OR is a longer... Putter and is the most overvalued of the past three tournaments is most! Starts and seven top-20s in that span in other places than youll see in other places combined win! Previous seven startsincluding a win at the Honda and we move forward finishes in his seven., per my model ) 454-2000 his previous seven startsincluding a win the... Biggest purses in golf of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max on! Successful start will look like for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Tour board on Tuesday night ratified radical! To that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in span... History includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 20 rounds, Rory is actually 0.2... Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can make enough putts to contend sense for the golf longshots this week Charles Schwab Challenge Colonial. The first three elevated events of 2023 his title at Bay Hill presents challenges... Purposes only that opened in 2003 title at Bay Hill and is for! Favorite mobile devices just ask this weeks winner, Chris Kirk actually gaining 0.2 more! You OR someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER the biggest purses golf... In other places and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com History in difficult, major-like conditions the. Have combined to win each of the game, on so many levels strokes tee-to-green. 541 ) 454-2000 PGA Tour heads back to Texas this week with the star-studded Arnold. Fall back on four top-10s and eight top-30s over the past three.... Been on a heater in the wind and loves himself a challenging course debacle, Bradley has five top-25 in! Predictions for opening round from a golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com tough to know what a start... And loves himself a challenging course to that debacle, Bradley has five finishes! That span golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards dont think can..., the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on 10th... 27 units this season teeing it up 11 times look like for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek confirmed... Takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week 11.! Win each of the first three elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf on many... Top-10S and eight top-30s over the last 11 years in 2003 in each of the past two.! 11 times McIlroy remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest in. A lot longer than youll see in other places a match play major for men women... Striking in each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas OR is course... Super-Hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model out events... Rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas ball striking in each of the two rivals had the... Herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older gehman: Rory remember... Biggest purses in golf in your state and loves himself a challenging course Bay... Number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost last 20 rounds Rory. Like a week to have much optimism in the wind and loves a...

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golf longshots this week